AI, memory, and crypto are being treated as long-term winners, but the near-term setup is volatile: VIX is flashing sell signals, several AI leaders are in post-earnings selloffs, and August/September are flagged as a rough window while the Fed debate stays unresolved. MU, MRVL, AVGO, AMD, NVDA, and even TSLA are framed as trading near key support or oversold levels rather than broken long-term stories, with China lithography fears, AI capex, and massive demand assumptions driving the readthrough. BTC, ETH, SOL, and MSTR are described as near technical extremes, while SPX/QQQ are said to be rolling over from elevated levels but not yet in outright regime change.
VIX is up 13.46% and prints sell signals on the quick chart, 2-day, 1-day, and 12-hour timeframes; the 12-hour is framed as the trading volatility timeframe and as winning over 80% of the time.
BTC’s top/bottom indicator is still ‘rolling along the bottom,’ with BTC in a ‘killer buy zone,’ creeping higher, and near rock bottom around 58K/59K/60K despite calls for 30K.
ETH’s ‘killer box’ at $1,500 has paid off, and ETH is bouncing off a 200-day moving average at 2,100.21–2,100.22 while trading around $1,900.
MU, MRVL, ‘Al Lab,’ and AMD are called the year’s ‘four amigos’; MU is down big after-hours to 721 and trades at P/E 5.13, while the drop is tied to China’s new lithography-device fears.
China is said to have planned only five Chinese DUV lithography machines this year and maybe 20 next year, versus ASML making hundreds, so the China-device worry is labeled overblown and memory demand is called ‘infinite’ for the next 5 years plus.
MRVL had its first buy signal around 177 and now sits near 160 after tanking about $3 after-hours; it hits level three on ATR, is said to be the most oversold since March/April 2025, and remains a hold despite a green-dot setup.
‘Al Lab’ is described as moving from $90 in March to $500 and then about half that, with call options sold at $500 now worth about $1 after being sold for roughly $60.
AVGO stayed resilient in its box last week but now looks ready to pierce the bottom of the box; AMD broke down this week, sits at level five, and is still stronger than the other ‘ones in the I-13.’
Copper is said to be holding up and to have effectively infinite demand because of too little mining on the planet, with AI, data centers, and electrification expected to keep lifting it.
NVDA is around 190, below the red-line support at 192.
SOL’s 200-day moving average is $87, and SOL is said to have its worst stretch since November 2025, with every monthly candle from November 2025 through February 2026 down.
MSTR, shown on the chart after earlier ticker confusion, falls to $73.53 in a big dip, then Michael Saylor buys last week; the tight sideways range is read as somebody stacking the ticker while the company keeps diluting shareholders.
QQQ turns at about 720 and has been up only since April 2026, but is now heading toward the 200-day moving average; Nasdaq is said to rarely stay below that line for long.
SPX is at 7,300 versus an all-time high of 7,620, and its trend is said to have flipped to ‘regular’ today.
TSLA is back at the summer 2025 area where it bounced off $300/$298, and at level four with very good risk/reward even though it could go lower.
TSLA’s cybercab rollout is slower than expected; Optimus is planned for mass production in September, and the stock is framed as capable of re-rating to 500–600 once 2,000 cybercabs are rolling autonomously.
SpaceX has unlocks running through November, can ‘blow through 100’ with 100/101 cited as a high-probability area, and could put data centers in space as early as next year, turning its satellite network into a global cell carrier and internet provider.
SpaceX and TSLA are described as trading in near lockstep on merger expectations, with SpaceX expected to face less violent swings going forward and to matter for national security; if TSLA becomes part of SpaceX, regulators would supposedly have less room to penalize TSLA.
Kevin Warsh is positioned as wanting markets driven more by markets than the Fed, sees policy far from a ‘magical 2% unicorn’ inflation rate, and may raise rates in September; the odds are put at 73%/76%, with August said to hang over the market until the next FOMC.
PZZA is discussed as a discount at an 8.6% yield, then identified as Papa John; the first buy signal in 20 years flashed at $39, the stock is now about $30, trades at P/E 20, and missed earnings.
SK Hynix is preferred over MU only after SK Hynix missed revenue but posted good earnings; MU is still called the 800-lb gorilla and the leader.
The closing call is to not overuse margin, keep cash on the side, and start gently putting a toe in the water because August is ugly, September can be rough, AI is not going anywhere, and crypto may rebound in 60 days.