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This Will Be MUCH BIGGER Than Nvidia

2026-09-08

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23m

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21 min read

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Memory remains the video’s core trade: DRAM, NAND, HBM, hard drives, and the equipment/test stack are in a supply squeeze that has already driven outsized gains and still looks under-extended on valuation for the top makers. MU, SK Hynix, SNDK, WDC, STX, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, and the niche suppliers are framed as the main ways to play a shortage that could run into 2028 and even beyond 2030, while the small caps are presented as higher-beta but far riskier. The other major setup is BSEM, a freshly uplisted Nasdaq microcap rebuilt in 1H26 around hospital allografts, with the next 12 months hinging on hospital expansion, trial data, 510(k) launch, and 2027 in-house manufacturing. The throughline: prefer the strongest names in the memory stack for long-term exposure, and treat BSEM as a speculative due-diligence watchlist name with material dilution and execution risk.

  • $100 in MU 1 year ago would be $818 today; DRAM contract prices rose in the low 60% range in a single quarter and NAND in the mid-80s, showing how extreme the memory squeeze has been.
  • HBM, the memory inside every AI chip, is sold out through 2027 at all three makers; hard drives are sold out through 2027; fabs are spending about $150 billion this year on capacity that lands late 2027 into 2028.
  • MU makes DRAM and NAND and is one of only three HBM makers; HBM is sold out through end-2027, MU last quarter revenue was $41.5 billion, up 346% YoY, gross margin was 85%, and the next quarter guide was $50 on the September 30 report.
  • MU trades at about 7x forward earnings, was a ZipTrader 25 pick, and was called a top pick in January at $363; the current stance stays constructive on it.
  • SK Hynix makes DRAM, NAND, and HBM, was first to get HBM approved inside NVDA products, and holds about 50%-55% HBM share.
  • SNDK, WDC’s NAND spinout, did $20.2 billion of revenue last fiscal year, up 175%, with data-center revenue doubling in one quarter, EPS of $39 last quarter, 4 years of contract visibility, and an August investor day guide for double-digit growth through 2030 and an 80% gross margin.
  • STX and WDC are the two remaining hard-drive makers at scale; hyperscalers are buying every high-capacity drive they can build, WDC says all 2026 production is sold out on multi-year purchase agreements, and WDC trades around 19x earnings.
  • LRCX gets 46% of systems revenue from memory, split evenly between DRAM and NAND; fiscal revenue was $23.2 billion, up 26%, EPS rose 39%, the September quarter guide was $8.1 billion, and the spending forecast was raised by $10 billion.
  • AMAT’s HBM-specific revenue rose from almost nothing to about $1.5 billion in a year, and management is targeting $3 billion of HBM-specific revenue.
  • KLAC remains the inspection monopoly for defects; stacked memory can require up to 10x the testing of a normal chip because one bad layer in a 12-high stack kills the part.
  • FormFactor’s probe cards test every layer before shipment, revenue was up 18% and net income up 163%, and margins should expand as HBM becomes a bigger share of its mix.
  • TER’s DRAM test revenue rose from $80 million to $350 million, and it launched an HBM-specific tester; BESI’s orders were up 104%, revenue up 28%, and HBM 4 increasingly needs its bonding niche.
  • ALAB revenue is up 98% and net income up 269%; its Leo CXL memory-expansion product is slated to ship in volume to two US hyperscalers in 2027.
  • SIMO is described as the cleanest small-cap name: it is the number one NAND controller maker, revenue is up 71%, it trades at 18x forward earnings, and it pays a dividend.
  • PLAB has about $500 million in cash on a $1.7 billion market cap, trades at 10x trailing earnings, and its Texas facility is finally shipping after being flagged in March.
  • ATOM’s trailing revenue is only $233,000, but it says it is in talks with large memory makers for next-gen DRAM and HPM and could sign deals in 2026; if it lands one, the stock could rise 5x to 10x, and if not it could drift to zero.
  • BSEM is BioStem Technologies on NASDAQ, and in January 2026 it bought BioTissue’s surgical and wound-care assets, shifting from a physician-office wound business to a hospital/surgery-center model with direct sales, GPO access, and 87% procedure-based reimbursement.
  • BSEM says the US soft-tissue allograft opportunity is about $26 billion, it has 4 GPO contracts covering about 2/3 of US hospital beds, more than 400 publications, and more than 1.2 million product applications backing the platform.
  • BSEM’s Pompano Beach facility has about 4x the capacity it uses today, the acquired Neox and Clerix products are still made by BioTissue under cost-plus supply, and management targets bringing that manufacturing in-house in 1H27.
  • BSEM issued 8 new US design patents in 2Q26, but the name is still tiny, thinly traded, cash-burning, and likely to need another capital raise, so dilution and execution risk remain central.