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🤖 AI Trade is Back. Here’s How to Play the Reversal 🎯

2026-10-28

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42m

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26 min read

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AI capex, GPU/TPU supply chains, and compute names are back in favor, while Bitcoin and the asset-treasury trade stay mixed. The key reversal setup is broad: BROADCOM/Marvell, MU, SK Hynix, NVDA, and Google-linked spend are all framed as beneficiaries of rising AI demand, while TSLA and SpaceX are the clearest momentum names. Bitcoin support/resistance is still being traded actively, but the sharper multi-year call is to prefer SpaceX over Micro Strategy. GOOGLE's weak post-earnings reaction is treated as a longer-dated AI capex opportunity, with 2027-2028 as the payoff window.

  • Bank of America, Blackstone, City, and Morgan Stanley are said to have written a $63 billion check for Broadcom TPUs, reinforcing the AI compute trade.
  • MU and SK Hynix are framed as beneficiaries of a "memory reversed" move; SK Hynix is also described as up 15% in a day.
  • SpaceX is said to have raised $40 billion at "really good rates," while oil stays a problem because of strikes and Brent is "nasty above 110 again" after trading over 115.
  • The weekly scorecard is claimed to be 60% right with two misses on SOL at $104 support and Micro Strategy after BTC was "hammered"; this week the scorecard is said to be 89% with partials, with 11 hits and two misses.
  • The 10-year yield is said to have fallen to around 5.4% and still be down around 5%, with the claim that not hiking "today" did not matter; an 86% chance of a December hike is still priced unless the Iranian situation improves.
  • QQQ is said to have turned back up and be "heading back off to the races," while the S&P 500 is described as still strong at 7,755 versus an all-time high of 7,842, leaving only a small move to make a new high in November.
  • VIX is said to have spiked to 23 last week and then mean revert; the next spike is expected before Christmas if the current cadence holds.
  • BTC is described as flat since Sept. 20, tightly correlated with gold, with a target map from about 12 ounces of gold per BTC toward 40 ounces; upside is tied to getting back above $82K, with $87K as resistance and the broken $81.6K support quickly reclaimed.
  • SOL is said to have failed $104 support and be around $102.15; ETH ETF flows are described as red for a month, with Fidelity and BlackRock buying zero ETH ETFs and "not one green day" in that stretch.
  • Micro Strategy is said to be following BTC down, with Saylor not doing an ATM last week; STRC is back at 99.92, with 100 needed to turn the flywheel, but that is doubted.
  • TSLA is said to have cleared 380 and run from 345 to 405 in seven trading days; the chart is described as a clear buy with no sell signals, and upside is framed as 450 if cybercab ramp continues, with 500 possible if 2,000 cybercabs are delivered by Christmas.
  • SpaceX is given a buy zone at 140-142 to "build a bag," even though the trend is down and sell signals are present; another claim pegs 10-13 GW of compute online, implying $350 billion to $400 billion of revenue next year on 50 billion a gigawatt economics and a market cap under $2 trillion.
  • PLTR is said to be turning up with a buy signal and moving back above 200, while an RBC analyst target of $90 is dismissed after their picks allegedly lost 2.5% over the last couple of years.
  • LRCX closed at 254 after falling as low as 220 a few days ago; the move is tied to strong earnings and guidance, and it is said to be working with TSLA and SpaceX on the "terraab".
  • NVDA is said to have broken out of an old channel, with a last-week buy signal at 212 and a close at 215; BROADCOM is said to have turned perfectly at 330-335 after dipping to 318-319, and MU is said to have jumped $54, nearly 6%, on the same sympathy move.
  • GOOGL is said to have missed earnings badly, with Wall Street expecting $3 EPS and the stock reported at $212 in after-hours; it is also said to be deep under the 200-day, about 15% below it, while capex guidance was raised from $195 billion to $205 billion.
  • GOOGL's AI spend is expected to pay off in 2027-2028, with a price target north of 400 and an easy 35% upside if bought under 300; OpenAI and Anthropic orders are cited as supporting BROADCOM and Marvel.
  • Cerebras is said to have bounced off the 130s with a long support line dating back to May; the thesis is that big buyers will deploy next year around Oracle inference data centers, with an 87.5% chance of moving up from the 103-105 area.
  • CRDO is said to have a bounce off the 130s buy signal and long support since May; the LRCX setup is preferred over AAT because of its SpaceX Terrafab link.
  • For a 1-3 year horizon, SpaceX is preferred over Micro Strategy as the faster horse, while STRIVE is said to be buying 3,000-4,000 BTC a week and running a much higher NAV premium than Micro Strategy.