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🔥 FRI FIRE: Wallets Drained, BTC 90-Day ATH, SPCX $40B Bet & MU $13B Prepay ⚡💰

2026-10-09

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13 min read

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BTC’s pullback, ETF outflows, and 1B+ in leverage liquidations are framed as a shakeout inside a still-intact weekly uptrend, with 88K as the next breakout line and 90K-100K as the upside path if ETF inflows return. The bigger thesis is that tokenization, stablecoins, and AI infrastructure are concentrating capital into a few winners: SOL and ETH headlines matter, but MU, NVDA, PLTR, and SPXC are the names tied to real spending, while OpenAI, GOOG, and TSLA/SpaceX sit behind the next wave of capex and network buildout. The video also treats memory supply as tight rather than peaked, points to $13B paid up front for MU capacity, and reads the SpaceX direct-to-device push as a direct threat to AT&T, T, and VZ. Macro tension stays high with 10Y at 5.35%, 30Y at 5.72%, and Brent above $104 on Oct. 7, while the wallet-drain segment warns that supply-chain risk can wipe out gains even after a huge run.

  • Crypto greed fell to 59 from 74 last week; stock-market sentiment sat at neutral 45.
  • BTC is described as still in a healthy weekly uptrend after moving out of the red-shadow bear zone 6, 7, 8 weeks ago, with the weekly structure still "fine" and green bars intact.
  • BTC is around 83K, 82K is treated as support, 88K is the key decision level, and a break above 88K is mapped to 90K and then 100K.
  • Bluroo’s historical setup says every BTC move from 50% below ATH back to 30% below ATH has led to a new high within 75 days, with a 24-day median and a 100% hit rate in BTC history.
  • If ETFs buy $5B in October, the BTC target is 90K; nearly $730M has already left the ETFs, yet BTC only fell about 2% from 87K a few days earlier.
  • Over 24-48 hours, about $1B of leverage was liquidated; the bounce followed the U.S. president saying there would be no Iran strike before the midterms.
  • Catrini Research says AI agents and AI-powered financial giants could remake crypto investing, with beneficiaries listed as COIN, HOOD, CRCL, ETH, and SOL.
  • Samsung says USDC transfers go live in Samsung Wallet in the last week of October across 82 million Galaxy devices.
  • Securitize launched 12 tokenized stocks on SOL, one-for-one with voting rights and dividends, while SOL still fell 7% this week.
  • The NASDAQ CEO said blockchain tokenization will transform global finance and unleash tens of billions of capital, matching the claim that the target was always to build a blockchain to replace the NASDAQ.
  • Ethereum is priced at 166,182 on a market-cap-per-daily-transaction measure versus 360 for SOL, and on an MA ratio basis ETH is said to be 454x more expensive than SOL.
  • Ledger is under investigation for user fund losses in South Asia after allegations that reseller Cryptobillis was acquired and then used in a supply-chain attack that drained wallets with known recovery phrases.
  • One anecdote says a buyer who picked up 60 BTC at the June low moved it to a Ledger wallet, was up about $1.5M, and then had the wallet drained.
  • YTD performance readouts show NVDA +23%, TSM +48%, MU +262%, AMD +185%, MRVL +222%, ALAB +105%, while PLTR is +15.72% from a stated $106 entry to about $29, GOOG is +12%, SOL -11%, ETH -16%, BTC -5%, and MSTR +2% despite BTC being down.
  • Last 30 days: AMD +21%, MRVL +21%, ALAB +20%, PLTR +24%, and MSTR +21%; last week: TSLA +2%, GOOG +2%, PLTR +9%, MRVL flat, BTC -2%, ETH -7%, SLD -7%, and MSTR -7%.
  • MU’s FY26 10-K filed this morning says strategic customer agreements are take-or-pay with binding multi-year volumes; customers are paying cash deposits, and the segment says $13B has been paid to get memory.
  • The MU filing is used to argue against the 'memory peaked' and 'AI bubble' views, with a Korea labor-strike risk flagged because of the demand pull.
  • SPXC is tied to a $40B raise to buy more NVDA chips with Apollo as lead; the FCC approved 15,000 satellites for direct-to-device, and SpaceX locked up 800 MHz spectrum to penetrate buildings and hit U.S. carriers directly.
  • AT&T, T, and VZ are said to be down 15%-20% from the SpaceX direct-to-device threat; Elon Musk is described as back above $1.115T net worth from TSLA and SpaceX moves.
  • Elon replied 'Interesting' to the 'First company to $10T buys the other' post about TSLA and SpaceX, with the same logic extended to a $100T threshold.
  • PLTR got a Barclays upgrade to a $235 target, cited as a reason it surged again, after an earlier call that it would go straight to $200 was called 'sandbagged' because PLTR is now around $209.
  • AVGO is up in sympathy after MRVL raised custom-silicon 2029 targets to more than $12B from 10 or less than 10; AMD also gets a 2027 supply-increase call from Lisa Su.
  • OpenAI revenue is put at $50B by FT as of end-September, then corrected by Bloomberg to $70B for the full year, implying 40% Q4 growth; GOOG is said to face permit bottlenecks, including a Finland data-center pause over environmental issues.
  • The 10Y hit 5.35% on Oct. 7, the highest in 26 years; the 30Y touched 5.72%; Brent UK oil topped $104.
  • A meme segment says Delta refused to use SpaceX internet on planes, Elon said the Delta CEO would be fired for not choosing Starlink, and the punchline is that business travelers will choose better connectivity unless Atlanta is the only option.