Hot CPI at 3.7% vs 3.6% lit up rate-hike odds, pushed the Nasdaq down 2%, erased $1T from the S&P 500, lifted oil, and hit AI leaders while BTC held up better than gold. The video leans bearish near term on broad market risk, but keeps buying the dip in select names where technical support and earnings catalysts still point higher: BTC, TSLA, NVDA, MU, AVGO, ALB, and TSM. Crypto is framed as weaker than equities in the short run, with BTC, SOL, ETH, and MSTR all tied to support levels and leverage/dilution worries. The second half widens into more names: ESE is treated as a tiny speculative hold, UMAX as a kill-box trade with a sharp upside target, and TSM as the strongest of the bottom-tier AI names.
CPI at 3.7% vs 3.6% was the inflation surprise that flipped rate-hike odds back higher; the same day saw oil top 100, the Nasdaq down 2%, and $1T wiped from the S&P 500.
Gold broke below 4,100 even with hotter inflation, while BTC held up better; the Dixie hit its highest level since April, matching the claim that a stronger dollar pressures BTC.
The S&P 500 sold off from 7,844 to 7,718, with only 10 stocks said to have driven 70% of the gain since March 30 while the other 490 did little.
The 10-year yield fell from around 5.3 to 5.129 even as UK Brent moved back above 106, keeping the inflation/oil backdrop tight.
BTC lost its $82,000 support on October 8/9, again on October 12, and again on October 14; the call is for a move back above 82K before the weekend, with the current gap described as about $220.
SOL rejected 118 last week, traded near 103.89 with a 101 low, and is expected to regain 104, then 110-112, and possibly 118 if BTC clears 82K.
ETH has 2,700 resistance and 2,400 support, with the base case still a rebound to the 2,700 line; the ranking call is ETH > BTC and SOL > ETH on the next leg.
MSTR’s selloff is tied to BTC weakness and ongoing ATM dilution; the concern is that buying STRC with dilutive share issuance produces little or no NAV accretion.
STRC is treated as fine around 99.74-99.75, but the preferred/dividend structure is viewed as vulnerable in a black swan if holders rotate into high-alpha stocks.
TSLA cleared a critical 380 level, then traded in a 356-360 to 380 box; earnings are due on the 21st/next Wednesday, with a hot print, FSD surprise, strong guidance, and a possible move back above 400.
SPX pair trading was framed around a 2.4 SpaceX share-to-TSLA ratio; after-hours moved it to 2.42 as SpaceX dipped and TSLA rose, with another SpaceX unlock next week keeping the ratio in the blue longer.
NVDA hit a new all-time high of 243 on October 6, then fell to 221 after a clear sell signal; the year-end target stays at 260+.
SK Hynix was said to have hit its 200-day moving average for the first time in about 1.5 years since May 2025, with a buy signal expected as the Korean market opens and a forecast of a rebound next week.
ALB was framed as a buy around 300 after a sell signal off 400; the target is 500 in the next one or two quarters, and June covered calls at 500 or 550 expired worthless.
MRVL still has no green-shadow buy signal; AI names sold off in unison, and the position is a hold until the setup improves.
TSM is called too strong and not oversold, with nonstop growth, a P/E of 13, and a yellow-trajectory pattern that keeps grinding upward.
ESE is a tiny position only: bought at 5, expected to hit 10 by Christmas and did so in under two months, now under 2 with earnings expected on November 11 and a possible return to 5 if it beats on revenue and sales.
UMAX is in the kill box around 17-18, with a downside floor near 16.70 and a target of 40 in two or three earnings cycles; the near-term path is north of 20, then 25, then 30 if sales stay strong.
CleanSpark is still framed as a chart to watch, with the longer-term view that it can still be 20 again, but timing is unknown and miner exposure is something the video is tired of carrying.