← Tom Nash

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to the Stock Market (& Why AI Stocks are Next)

2026-10-16

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33m

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23 min read

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The core case is that market fear and volatility create the best entry points, but only for investors with a process that separates price from business quality and builds conviction before panic hits. The video argues most retail investors lose money not because the S&P 500 fails to compound, but because they buy hype, sell bottoms, and never learn how to hold through 20%–40% drawdowns in names that later compound. It frames the selloff backdrop as a setup: Wednesday’s hot inflation print, an “another rate hike is certain” mood, the S&P 500’s first negative 1% day after its longest streak in 6 years, and broad weakness in SPX, QQQ-style growth, and small caps. The pitch ends by tying that system to a Oct. 24, Saturday 2:00 p.m. Eastern masterclass and a never-before-mentioned bullish stock reveal.

  • A 1,000% winner over 5 years can still leave most investors with losses if they buy late and sell early; the example path is $10 to $1,000 in a straight line on social media versus a real path of 10 → 1,000 → 500 → 2,000 → 900 → 7,000 → 4,500 → 10,000.
  • PLTR is used as the template: from $10 at IPO to $40, then $6 for a year, then $200, down to $130, and back to $200; it is also said to be up 1,900% overall and to have been down 75% at one point.
  • NVDA is cited as hitting in Oct. 2020 and being up almost 1,500%; it is also said to have been down 36% at one point over the last 5 years.
  • AINet is said to be up 400% but to have been down 50% at one point over the last 5 years.
  • A 35-stock Roic Academy track is described as a net top-stocks list: net up 358% from 2023, with ASML added in 2021 and up almost 200%, MU up 172%, PLTR up almost 2000%, NVDA up 1500%, and AMD up 577%.
  • ARM was added in Aug. of last year, fell from 138 to 105, then was up almost 70% at the 1-year mark.
  • DDOG was added in January this year, is up 100%, but also fell from 133 to 105 after inclusion.
  • BE was added in February this year, moved 165 → 119 → 217, was down almost 30% at one point, and is up 33% overall.
  • The market backdrop is framed as a fear trade: a hot inflation report Wednesday, “another rate hike is certain” sentiment, the S&P 500’s first negative 1% day after its longest streak in 6 years, the S&P down 1% Wednesday, Nasdaq down 2%, and small caps down 2%.
  • The claim is that volatility and crashes do not kill portfolios; emotional reactions do: 90% of retail investors keep losing money despite the S&P 500 doing 10% a year, because they jump in and out after one bad day or one bad week.
  • The proposed fix is a system that overrides emotion: a private research process that finds opportunities before everyone else and builds conviction, because humans are emotional and cannot simply be hardwired out of it.
  • The investing rule set is: when the S&P 500 is 10% below its 52-week high, and a stock is 20% below its 52-week high, double down with 2x buying; monthly, invest half and hold half in reserve; within the invested half, allocate 30% to 60% to a broad ETF like the S&P 500 and use the rest to search for quality; trim profits at +50%, +100%, and +150%.
  • The method for judging a falling stock starts by separating market sentiment and geopolitics from fundamentals, then running seven checks: revenue growth, margin expansion, lost contracts/clients, debt growth, CEO/CFO departures, weak guidance, and new competitors.
  • Zeta Global is the case study: after being called “going to be huge” in May 2026, it is said to be up 92% since May but still down 6% YTD and down 50% from Nov. 2024 to May 2026; stockmvp.com is cited for the numbers.
  • ZETA’s fundamentals are cited as revenue up 30% to $1.3 billion, operating income up 109% YoY to $5.4 million, free cash flow up 100%, EBITDA margin up 360%, total assets up 33%, and a 3.3 price-to-sales ratio with more cash than debt.