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🐂 TA Masterclass: Will October 2026 Spark the Next Rally? 📈

2026-10-07

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38m

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26 min read

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October 2026 is framed as a month where the main question is whether AI stocks, crypto, and key macro levels keep ripping or finally crack. The tape shown is broadly risk-on — QQQ, SPX, NVDA, TSLA, AVGO, AMD, and several AI names are making or flirting with new highs — while rates at 5.38%, oil just above $100, and an overdue VIX spike are the main macro risks. Crypto is more mixed: BTC is being defended as the faster horse versus gold, but ETH is chopping under resistance while SOL is stronger and Hyperliquid is treated as high-upside but harder to buy after a fresh ATH. The video leans bullish on selected names with tight levels, but keeps hammering that entries matter, dilution matters, and many of these trades are only attractive on pullbacks or at specific support zones.

  • October 2026 starts with a scorecard: SK Hynix bullish call missed by 3%, TSLA/SpaceX timing hit 2.4 after peaking at 2.391, ALAB bullish call worked partly, BTC levels were right, and no MTSTR setup was given.
  • Month-to-date in October: BTC down 0.13%, ETH down 4%, SOL down 2%, XRP down 5%, Binance up 2%; TSLA up 7.3%, NVDA up 3.5%, AVGO up 5.5%, AMZN up 5%, MSFT up 3%, GOOGL up 2%, and AMD broke out again.
  • The 10-year yield is 5.38% and long-term bonds worldwide are rising, while UK oil is just above $100; both are labeled negative macro signals.
  • Oil shows a sell signal from the current level, with downside targets around level 6, level 5, and 105, and the call is for oil to get back into the 70s.
  • QQQ has a buy signal and has broken to another all-time high, while SPX is also at another all-time high despite high rates, another rate-hike threat, and oil/diesel record highs and shortages.
  • VIX sits at the 15 baseline, with the view that machines have crushed volatility; a spike is expected every six to eight weeks, is overdue, and could come within two weeks if something scary happens.
  • IBIT is absorbing BTC ETF flows, with BlackRock buying every week for the last three weeks except one day; BTC’s drop from 87K to 82K is pinned on manipulators including Wintermute and Binance.
  • BTC kept tagging 87.2K four times in roughly the last 2.5 weeks and then falling back, with support/resistance around 82.5K–82.6K; the setup is framed as repeatable longs near 82.5K and shorts near 87K.
  • BTC was expected to bounce from 82.7K/83K, and the thesis is that BTC beats gold this year and probably for the next three years even with Chinese buying; BTC is called the faster horse in a bull market.
  • ETH faces resistance at 2700 and a sell signal at 277, with crypto direction said to depend on BTC’s run; Solana is said to be beating ETH by a wide margin, including a 21.15% last-month comparison called "SUI ETH" in the notes.
  • SOL sits around 118–120 with no sell signal, a target toward 130, and a view that it is easier for manipulators to play than BTC; longer term it is still expected to go to 300, a 3x move, possibly in the next year or two.
  • MTSTR has a huge sell signal and trend about to roll over, tied to Saylor ATMing aggressively to dilute shareholders, buy BTC, and buy STRC back; STRC had trouble staying near 100, flashed a scare to 74, and then recovered after Saylor buying.
  • CleanSpark nailed the 15.30 sell level and has trended down since; the stock was held from about $2, calls are considered sellable, support sits at $11–$11.50, and the view is for a move toward $13-$15 by end-October before signals reappear.
  • TSLA still has trend support at 350 and 0.71, with Q4 described as historically strong and possibly good for 450 or higher if earnings hold; the bullish case leans on megapack, FSD take-rate, and surging sales in the Netherlands, Norway, Germany, and Spain.
  • MS kills MSFT? No — MSTR’s cousin? Not here. The video instead says Morgan Stanley called SpaceX stupid cheap and getting cheaper with a $300 target, but the chart has a sell signal at 175, trouble over 176, and preferred buy zones in the low 140s rather than 176 or 167.
  • TSLA/SpaceX pair work points to 2.2–2.21 as the yellow-line turn level and 2.4 as the projected rebound target; the rule given is blue trend = buy TSLA, orange trend = buy SpaceX.
  • NVDA is said to have broken to fresh all-time highs on Oct. 1, 3, 4, and 5, running to 243 before pausing; the stock is called very cheap for what it is, and QQQ strength is linked to NVDA because it is roughly 8% of the index.
  • SK Hynix is treated as a buy on weakness despite bad press and target cuts: the claim is it can make enough profit in 18–24 months to buy back 35% of the stock, finish a large buyback now, and reach $40 within two or three earnings cycles.
  • ALAB stays in a very bullish trend, with resistance around 381.8–382 and a $500 target after the S&P 500-add rumor faded; the notes also mention a missed mean-reversion hedge/call trade and a choice to wait.
  • MRVL cleared 257, has buy signals just above level 3 and at level 4, and could run toward 299 as a psychological level before a potential sell signal around $299/$300; after-hours was up 20 cents and the stock is described as on a path to trillion-dollar status.
  • AMD is in a super-bullish uptrend, making new all-time highs after a straight run from 400/450 to 650, with the expectation of only a breather before the trend resumes.
  • GOOGL has a buy signal but is chopping as the smallest I13 position, with a year-end target of 380–400; the catalysts cited are Q4 seasonality and the new Astra version, which is described as very good.
  • AVGO is said to have nailed a breakout buy call two weeks earlier, with targets of 413 by Christmas and possibly 490 if momentum holds.
  • Copper is called the no-brainer macro trade of the decade, printing new all-time highs every few weeks and sitting above the speaker’s copper line, with a straight-shot target to $10.
  • Hyperliquid is treated as a fresh all-time-high trade but with low adoption, insider whale selling, and falling revenue; the user base is described as 1,200 or 12,000 professional traders, and Pump Fund is said to have out-earned it for the first time in memory.
  • The Hyperliquid setup is framed as not a buy near all-time highs, with alerts preferred and a willingness to add only near 50 if fundamentals still hold; the notes also give an easy setup to 295 for 163% from $116.
  • Near Protocol is portrayed as strong on revenue but not a world-winning blockchain, with a juicy buy level at $1.20 yet no desire to touch it versus the winning asset.
  • Palantir is called a hated stock that kept heading up; 106 was the buy opportunity, and the position is said to be about three times the size of GOOGL.
  • EOS is called downright disgusting but sitting at support around $3, with no expectation of breaking below that because buyers step in there; a move back to 20 depends on news and strong earnings on Nov. 11.