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BUY SLEEP SELL -- BIGGER Gains #NVDA MSFT BTC

2026-10-05

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18m

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13 min read

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MSFT’s run into 531 was framed as a completed Fibonacci measured move from sub-400 levels, while NVDA was cast as the video’s main momentum trade: fresh all-time highs, massive long-term compounding, and a still-intact uptrend unless key shelves break. BTC was treated as the harder call — weekly bullish if it can keep closing above $82,814, but still needing a higher low to prove the winter is over, with $75,000-$65,000 named as the potential buy zone. Across all three, the message is to respect the levels: NVDA can still extend if it holds 233 and 227, but a break risks a fast drop; BTC’s bull case depends on repeated cycle behavior and the RSI staying above its dotted line. The video ends by separating conviction from confirmation: accumulation is favored, but the local higher high in BTC could still be a bull trap.

  • MSFT reached 531, just under 532, after months of following the prior Fibonacci-based full measured move target.
  • MSFT was previously mapped from under 400, including 392, to 500 and then 531; that call is now described as a completed "one and done" move.
  • NVDA printed a new all-time high last Friday.
  • NVDA is described as up just under 1,000,000% from its $12 IPO price; $1,000 at the IPO is framed as about $10 million today.
  • $10,000 in NVDA in 2006 is claimed to be worth $7.77 million today, and $100,000 bought after the AI story broke in 2023 is claimed to be worth $1.7 million today.
  • NVDA becoming the world’s largest company is said to have been followed by only a 66% further gain, implying the move may still be early.
  • For 2025, buying NVDA at the close and selling at the open is claimed to beat holding through the day, with the return framed as about 53% versus roughly 38% for the usual approach.
  • NVDA is trading just under an ascending resistance line that has been hit at least twice and respected; the line is the near-term guide.
  • NVDA’s end zone for the current uptrend is placed around 244, while 227 is the key shelf; a break under 227 is said to risk panic selling toward 206-210.
  • On the 30-minute chart, NVDA is said to have stair-stepped from around 221 a couple of weeks ago, keeping a higher-low structure while consolidating sideways.
  • NVDA’s current higher-low watch level is around 233; if that breaks, the concern is a lower low and a trend shift out of uptrend behavior.
  • BTC closed Sunday night in a confirmed bullish weekly-candle setup, but the bullish reversal still requires two weekly candles above $82,814.
  • BTC’s reversal test is not just a higher high: a higher low is required to prove the winter is over, and the segment says BTC has never reversed this early before.
  • BTC’s local golden-cross setup is tied to the 13- and 49-day moving averages and a confirmed cross back above them after going below.
  • BTC is described as historically spending about 3 months consolidating and building a base after that crossover before taking off.
  • The buy zone for BTC’s higher low is given as 75,000 to 65,000, with the RSI not allowed to fall back under a white dotted line or bull-trap risk rises.
  • When BTC fell under $80,000, the accumulation plan was $1,500 a day; lump-sum buying was said not to be working, while daily accumulation is working now even if BTC later makes a lower low.
  • The BTC winter was contrasted with the prior 15,000-17,000 bottom: this time there has been no fear, only greed while buying, and the question left open is whether the bottom is in or the local higher high is a bull trap.