← Tom Nash

The Best AI Stocks To Buy In 2026

2026-07-20

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26m

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19 min read

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The case is for owning AI infrastructure, not chasing app-layer hype: NVDA, AVGO, AMD, ARM, ASML, MU, ANET, CDNS, LRCX, TSM, AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, VRT, GEV, CIEN, BE, CEG, DLR, PLTR, MDB, CRWD, and TSLA are framed as the 24-stock setup for the next AI super cycle. The core claim is that agents, not chatbots, drive a much larger 24/7 demand shock across compute, memory, networking, power, cooling, orchestration, and robotics, with a potential 500x demand expansion if AI spreads from developers into Excel, Word, PowerPoint, Outlook, and general knowledge work. Multiples are treated as secondary to growth and moat: NVDA and PLTR are cited as examples where expensive stocks compounded through revenue acceleration, while current leaders show strong revenue, income, and cash-flow growth. The closing portfolio advice is defensive and process-heavy: keep a 6-month emergency fund, hold at least half in the S&P, use DCA/DCA X2 and trimming rules, and avoid selling on up moves, down moves, or macro fear.

  • NVDA is the template: it was called expensive at 20x sales and 22x sales, yet revenue rose from 61 to 131 to 216 and the stock is up 5x from late 2023 to now.
  • PLTR was called expensive at 17x sales in 2023, then revenue doubled and the stock rose 20x; it now trades at 58x sales.
  • Roic Academy’s October 2020 top-stocks list included NVDA and PLTR and is up 1,300% and 1,200% since, and it also included ANET.
  • Agentic AI is treated as a much bigger shift than chatbots because agents run 24/7, build context layer upon layer, and can require 10x more tokens than chatbots.
  • If agents move beyond developers into Excel, Word, PowerPoint, Outlook, and informational work, the TAM expands about 50x and token usage about 10x, implying 500x more AI demand than today.
  • Global AI capacity is already on track to be 24x by 2030, and cheaper AI can trigger a Jevons-paradox flywheel that lowers cost and raises demand again.
  • NVDA is the compute-layer engine of the stack: every developer, lab, and data center is built on it, moving away takes years and billions, and there are at least five or six capex cycles ahead before growth slows.
  • AVGO is the completion to NVDA: custom AI chips for data centers plus the network connecting GPUs and infrastructure; its AI semiconductor revenue is up 143% y/y, operating income 89% y/y, and net income 292% y/y.
  • AMD has a double thesis in GPUs and CPUs as second-sourcing plus renewed CPU demand from AI context and memory; net income is up 164% y/y, operating income 94% y/y, and free cash flow 180% y/y.
  • ARM is a toll-booth on the AI industry because every chip maker pays for its blueprint; it was blocked from being bought by NVDA, and genetic AI adds more royalty income.
  • ASML is described as a literal monopoly in lithography, with no alternative and an order book that keeps it at full capacity for the next 5 years.
  • MU has turned from a commodity business into a high-bandwidth-memory moat; building a competing facility would take 5 years and billions, the stock still trades at 5x forward earnings, operating income is up 650% in the past year, and free cash flow is up 1,300%.
  • ANET is the GPU-networking gear inside data centers and becomes more important with agents; it is up about 340% since being added to the top-stocks list, with revenue growth at 30% and income growth at 23%.
  • CDNS is the EDA layer that simulates chip production before billions are spent on tooling and manufacturing; agents create more chip demand ahead, and CDNS shows 42% free cash flow growth, 22% operating income growth, and a 31% operating margin.
  • LRCX owns 50% of chip-etching equipment, integrates with ASML’s patterning tools, and is set up as a major winner of the agentic AI phase; it has 24% revenue growth, 40% operating income growth, and 40% net income growth y/y.
  • TSM is sold out into infinity, is called unavoidable for agentic AI, and trades below 20x forward P/E with 48% operating income growth.
  • AMZN is framed as AWS being the toll booth of AI: 31% net income growth, 3.6x sales, and 25x forward P/E.
  • MSFT owns the cloud, business software, data, and tools for AI agents inside organizations; it trades at 20x earnings, 9x sales, has a 47% operating margin, and its stock is down recently.
  • GOOGL’s TPUs reduce GPU dependence and improve margins; it is the fastest-growing cloud at 63% annual growth, with 32% net income growth and 23x forward earnings, versus MSFT cloud growth at 40% and AMZN at 28%.
  • VRT is tied to AI cooling and thermal management as density rises; it has 170% net income growth, 67% free cash flow growth, and 38% operating income growth over the past year.
  • GEV is the grid-upgrade play for data centers that cannot expand without major power infrastructure; it has 76% operating income growth, 214% net income growth, and 62% operating profit margin growth.
  • CIEN is the optical network between data centers, and agent traffic multiplies both inside facilities and between them; it has 47% income growth, 63% operating income growth, and 76% free cash flow growth.
  • BE is positioned as onsite power when the grid is strained, with almost 40% revenue growth y/y, 217% operating income growth y/y, and 72% free cash flow growth y/y.
  • CEG is slower growth but is included because nuclear is needed for 24/7 reliable power for AI and data centers.
  • DLR is the landlord for data-center real estate; it trades at 3x sales, has 125% free cash flow growth y/y, 117% net income growth, 520% free cash flow growth, and a 61% EBITDA margin.
  • PLTR is the orchestration play: agents need software that governs, watches, monitors, and secures them, and the claim that chatbots will displace it is dismissed as ridiculous; its metrics are 85% revenue growth, 145 rule of 40, and 360% operating income growth y/y.
  • MDB is the context/database bottleneck in orchestration, with 314% free cash flow growth last year and 23% revenue growth.
  • CRWD is the cybersecurity layer for agents that will access information, code, and other sensitive assets; it has 120% net dollar retention, 22% revenue growth, and 23% free cash flow growth.
  • 2030 to 2035 is called the robotics decade, embodied AI is projected to become the largest AI-economy layer, and US working hours already could be replaced by technology equal to 13% of current labor time.
  • TSLA is already leading robotics because FSD is treated as humanoid robotics on wheels; its ingredients include electric motors, vision and sensors, batteries, supply chain, manufacturing, data, and 10 million real miles.
  • TSLA’s camera-only choice is tied to building robotics early; humanoid robots cannot be manufactured with lidar on the head, so cameras were the right choice.
  • TSLA still has solid fundamentals while pivoting: 74% free cash flow growth over the past year, $44 billion in cash, and $95 billion of annual revenue from car sales alone.
  • The investing framework is infrastructure over applications, moats over hype, and orchestration over shiny wrappers, with five layers named as compute, cloud and power, orchestration, embodied AI, and consumption.
  • An emergency fund for 6 months is required before investing, at least half of a portfolio should be in the S&P, and the DCA X2 system deploys 50%, waits with 50%, then doubles down as the stock comes down while always buying something.
  • The trim rules are to trim at 50%, 100%, 150%, and 200% gains and recycle into DCA; the standing rules are never sell because a stock went up, down, or because of macro.