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Don't Trade September Until You See THESE Charts 📉🔥

2026-09-02

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38m

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24 min read

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September is framed as the weakest equity month globally, with the first 10 days usually rough and tech hit hardest, while October through December are the best stretch and the setup window for buying positions. QQQ remains weak but the S&P 500 is still in an uptrend with a buy signal, so the call is to avoid shorting broad indices and instead use pullbacks, especially in BTC, SOL, ETH, NVDA, and select AI/data-center names. The video leans bullish on BTC’s monthly trend and ETF-driven upside, but sharply bearish on overextended or broken charts like GOOGL, MU, BMRN? no—actually names such as MU, BLOOM, RDW, and the miner complex, while keeping a few higher-conviction longs such as STRC, AMD, MSTR, and select industrials. The second segment tightens the philosophy: don’t lose money, balance risk/reward, and own the category winner, not the second-best name.

  • September is called the worst month for equities worldwide; the first 10 days are expected to be rough, with tech stocks hit hardest, while October-November-December are the best months for returns and news flow.
  • QQQ is still weak and “trend is still down,” but the S&P 500 remains in an uptrend with a buy signal and no sell signal, so shorting SPX is discouraged because it tracks global M2.
  • BTC’s monthly optimized trend model has turned blue after a 427-day prior bear market; the current bear leg is measured at 304 days, 123 days shorter and less steep, with no monthly sell signal.
  • BTC at $40,000 would require a 48.44% drop from current levels; the claim is 99.5% certainty it will not fall 50% in the next 8 weeks, and resistance is still around level four with possible ranges near 75k-74k or back above 80k.
  • BTC ETF flows are treated as the driver: every $1 billion into the ETFs is said to add 3% to price, so continued ETF buying and seller absorption should lift BTC.
  • SOL has smashed through its 200-day moving average and is facing resistance near level two around $113; prior resistance was cited at $102 and $112, after a 40% August and a stretch of 10-12 red monthly candles followed by two green ones.
  • ETH is described as taking the same breather as BTC and SOL, with resistance at level three and ATR-based red level lines marking the history-derived zones.
  • MSTR is said to have surged 53% in 12 days and then mean-reverted a bit; price is out of the $96 area, Saylor is “ATMing a little bit,” and the stock is still described as strong.
  • STRC is above 97 with no sell signal and trend still up; the 97 entry is framed as a 12% dividend yield, about 12.33% annual return, with four years of dividend banked in dollars and no risk to the dividend payment itself.
  • TSLA is set to launch the Cybertruck tomorrow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific, after building over 2,500 Cybertrucks and testing them nationwide; the call is that Tesla will push both Uber and Waymo out within 6-12 months, with Q3 earnings expected to be incredible.
  • NVDA is making over $1 billion a day in revenue and is projected to grow 70% by this time next year, implying roughly $1.7-$2.0 billion a day; the stock is around 224 after hitting 228, versus a 236 all-time high, and is expected to keep grinding higher in-channel.
  • MU is described as flatlined, with an orange trend and a sell signal, while the chart gives no clear direction despite being a key AI memory name.
  • MRVL missed the sexy expectation despite decent guidance, sold off on the sell signal, and is now around 206, just below the stated 210 floor/previous 200 talk; the view is it likely stabilizes here because optical connectivity is critical to data-center buildout.
  • GOOGL remains bearish with trend down and a sell signal; 320 is called a kill box, with the claim that if you don’t own it and see it at 320, you should grab it, even though the stock is still about $13 above that level.
  • AMD is still bullish from the bottom of its range despite a recent stall, and is framed as the mini-NVDA and a custom-chips play everybody wants.
  • AAPL? no—ALAB is in a downtrend with a sell signal and a 250 kill zone, after trading around 267; the covered-call example says the $500 calls bring in $61 premium, or $610,000 per 100 contracts.
  • PLTR ran another 25 days and added 11% to 187 before starting to mean-revert; support is cited near level five around 158, with the entry noted at 101-106 using leaps.
  • MTZ fell from 440 to 230, and GEV is presented as a pick-and-shovels turbine/grid gear play with a 5-year turbine backlog, but earnings missed by 22% even with a 25 PE and revenue beats.
  • Industrial names are expected to do well late in the year; Q4 is called hot for industrials.
  • HNT is cited as a crypto lottery-ticket that ran from nothing to 11.2 and then down 99.05% over 900 days to about 54 cents, reinforcing the rule to keep speculative crypto bets under 1% of portfolio value except for BTC and SOL.
  • AMZN is described as having sexy AWS and a strong retail business, but the chart has a sell signal and downtrend; valuation is said to be cheap at $12.60 EPS and 20 PE, with average analyst target 330, about 30% upside.
  • BLOOM is still in a downtrend around 212, but is considered too expensive at 281 PE with slowing revenue growth and erratic earnings growth, so it gets a clear no-touch.
  • HODL is dismissed as inconsistent and too scattered, while DFTV, Upexi, and similar SOL treasury vehicles are mentioned, with DFTV called the most professional/organized; dividend-yield treasury names are criticized as increasingly Ponzi-like, racing from 11% to 14%, and the rule is not to chase yield.
  • Riot, CLSK, and MARA are still held but the miner complex is treated as a race-to-the-bottom dilution story over 5-6 years, with plans to exit the next pump; IREN is no longer held and APLD is another miner-linked name to evaluate.
  • RDW is treated as too risky, with missed earnings, red flags, no evident profit, and a chart rattling near the bottom for 2 years, so the call is to stay away.
  • The closing rule is to own the top 0.3% of assets, not the second-, tenth-, or twelfth-best name; investing is about not losing money, balancing risk and reward, and backing the winner in each category.