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Meta & TSLA Earnings the Good and the BAD

2026-10-21

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6 min read

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Meta’s post-earnings move is being treated as a technical test into 743, with upside only if it can reclaim that level on two 4-hour closes; failure risks a retest of 690 and, if that breaks, 666 then 611. TSLA’s earnings reaction is weaker, but the stock still holds an uptrend unless it gets two 4-hour closes under 345.88, which would point to a lower low and revive the earlier 2026 downside call to 290. The earnings backdrop is mixed: Meta revenue rose 26% to $64.6 billion despite a one-time legal charge, while Tesla’s quarterly profits fell 44% even as free cash flow came in at about $1.5 billion and spending was lighter than expected.

  • Meta popped on earnings; TSLA headed south after earnings.
  • TSLA generated about $1.5 billion in free cash flow, helped by spending less than Wall Street expected.
  • Tesla quarterly profits fell 44% from a year earlier.
  • TSLA is range-bound between 380 and 350; 345 is the critical price just below the bottom of that range.
  • Two 4-hour closes under 345.88 would likely send TSLA to a lower low; the earlier downside call for 2026 was 290.
  • Despite the earnings reaction, TSLA made a higher high, so the trend remains up for now; the panic/hedge trigger is a close under 345.88.
  • TSLA is expected to revisit the range, hold support, and keep climbing into 2027 if the support test works.
  • META revenue grew 26% to $64.6 billion.
  • A one-time legal charge hit META’s reported earnings; without it, EPS would have beaten expectations.
  • META’s AI assistant Muse has passed 10 million users, according to Zuckerberg.
  • META expects to spend $135 billion to $145 billion this year on infrastructure.
  • META plans a new class of shares without voting rights, which could dilute existing investors’ ownership percentages.
  • META ran to 743, described as critical chart resistance; two 4-hour closes above 743 are needed for continued upside.
  • If META cannot get back above 743, it is likely to retest 690 by the end of the week; losing 690 opens 666 first and then 611 as the bigger downside target.
  • The bull case on META is more exposed because the Fed rate decision on October 28 could move these markets hard.